The ARIS Study
Perhaps you have seen earlier this week the publication of the American Religious Identification Survey (ARIS). This study is based on 54,461 American adults who responded to a survey conducted in Spanish or English. This is the third installment of this research group’s findings.
The best interactive charts and graphs of it can be seen at the USA TODAY site. Some highlights include:
The percentage. of people who call themselves in some way Christian has dropped more than 11% in a generation
In Texas, Catholics gained (9%) a nation high since 1990.
In Texas, “other Christians” have fallen by 20% since 1990.
many Americans claim no religion at all (15%, up from 8% in 1990), that this category now outranks every other major U.S. religious group except Catholics and Baptists (which are 25.1% and 15.1% respectively).
This last item is their most significant observation. American culture seems to be more and more open to a group that has no interest in religion at all.
This information is not “new” really, but every Christian should take note of the reality that it reflects.
In the book, The Forgotten Ways, Alan Hirsch has already observed that the majority of evangelical churches are fighting long and hard to recruit members from an ever- shrinking pool of people. He includes this stirring analysis by Sally Morganthaler:
“Despite what we print in our own press releases, the numbers don’t look good. According to 2003 actual attendance counts, adult church-going is at 18 percent nationally and dropping. Evangelical attendance (again, actual seat numbers, not telephone responses) accounts for 9% of the population, down from 9.2% in 1990. “
As an illustration of this trend, check out the Christian Chronicle article “Is Christianity In America losing ground?” The worries of many seem to be focused on losing children of Church members to “denominational” or “Bible church fellowships.” This is an issue, but we should be clear, the water is draining from the bathtub. Do we notice the pool is getting shallower?
Some of you know that I teach a class on religion in America for Austin Graduate School of Theology once a year. I’ve retooled that class from Chrisitanity in America to religion in America because of this phenomena. The days where we could simply understand what other Christians think is well past. We have to engage a larger religious world that is growing around us.
One last parting comment. I read a blog from time to time called internetmonk.com simply because it’s interesting. Its comment on the ARIS report is stirring:
“This is the stage for the coming evangelical collapse. It is the dawning of an America where Christianity is generic or declining, for the most part. It is the stage where serious Churches and theologically/culturally conservative churches have a first century style mission field. This is the stage where many of us will watch our children and grandchildren identify a generic Christianity when they are young, but never join a church and eventually drop into the ranks of the non-religious.
This is the stage for a cultural disengagement from the Christian memory of America. It is the dawning of a new American religious landscape. Give our culture 25 years. How much faster will this happen? How much deeper will it go?
If you are an evangelical and you aren’t enthusiastically supporting innovative, cross cultural, missional church planting, you might want to go pre-plan the funeral. The future isn’t the megachurch.”
This post is a bit negative (and over the top) but the point is well taken. Many are unplugging from church. The days where we can have a great product on Sundays and rely on that for our growth are surely numbered. We (and I) have to become better missionaries able to learn from our culture, engage it, and share the gospel in concrete ways.



